3rd summer crops forecast & Intentions to plant Winter Cereals | 23 April

Third production forecast for summer crops (2026) and intentions to plant winter cereals (2026)
Derde produksieskatting vir somergewasse (2026) en voorneme om wintergewasse te plant (2026)

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and third production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2026 2026 2026 2025 2025
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 664 700 9 084 650 8 757 850 1 599 700 8 450 000 3.73
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 051 500 7 750 450 7 750 450 997 000 8 200 000 0.00
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 716 200 16 835 100 16 508 300 2 596 700 16 650 000 1.98
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 570 100 821 630 778 155 555 700 700 000 5.59
Soybeans / Sojabone 1 212 700 2 808 225 2 729 275 1 151 000 2 800 000 2.89
Groundnuts / Grondbone 44 650 69 360 69 360 48 125 63 350 0.00
Sorghum 45 000 140 653 140 653 41 150 150 000 0.00
Dry beans / Droëbone 38 920 79 450 80 704 45 620 90 556 -1.55
Total / Totaal 4 627 570 20 754 418 20 306 447 4 438 295 20 453 906 2.21
Non-commercial Maize / Nie-kommersiële Mielies
Total maize / Totaal mielies 397 170 695 025 N/A 358 000 621 500 N/A
Maize / Mielies: Commercial / Kommersieël + Non-commercial / Nie-kommersieël
Total maize RSA / Totaal mielies RSA 3 113 370 17 530 125 N/A 2 954 700 17 271 500 N/A

Notes/Notas:
Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2025/2026 = 2026
Estimate reflects current conditions to date, assuming the remainder of the season progresses normally.
Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2025/2026 = 2026
Skatting weerspieël die huidige toestande tot op hede, met die aanname dat die res van die seisoen normaal sal verloop.

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2016-2026   Produksie
Graph of the total maize production from 2016 to 2026
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Production   2016-2026   Produksie
Graph of sunflower seed production from 2016 to 2026
Soybeans / Sojabone
Production   2016-2026   Produksie
Graph of soybean production from 2016 to 2026
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and third production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2026 2026 2025 2025
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
200 4 000 4 200 1 800 38 000 39 800 200 3 500 3 700 1 800 33 850 35 650
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 000 42 500 45 500 40 500 658 750 699 250 1 500 42 000 43 500 18 750 680 400 699 150
Free State / Vrystaat
840 000 370 000 1 210 000 4 662 000 2 368 000 7 030 000 850 000 345 000 1 195 000 4 335 000 2 535 900 6 870 900
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
6 000 30 000 36 000 43 200 270 000 313 200 6 000 28 000 34 000 42 600 238 000 280 600
KwaZulu-Natal
47 000 72 000 119 000 291 400 633 600 925 000 50 000 66 000 116 000 320 000 617 100 937 100
Mpumalanga
172 000 368 000 540 000 1 032 000 2 649 600 3 681 600 162 000 362 000 524 000 1 093 500 2 986 500 4 080 000
Limpopo
16 000 20 000 36 000 108 800 170 000 278 800 10 000 18 500 28 500 71 000 162 800 233 800
Gauteng
60 500 65 000 125 500 356 950 474 500 831 450 55 000 57 000 112 000 360 250 461 700 821 950
North West / Noordwes
520 000 80 000 600 000 2 548 000 488 000 3 036 000 465 000 75 000 540 000 2 207 100 483 750 2 690 850
Total / Totaal
1 664 700 1 051 500 2 716 200 9 084 650 7 750 450 16 835 100 1 599 700 997 000 2 596 700 8 450 000 8 200 000 16 650 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and third production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2026 2026 2025 2025
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 500 1 150 1 000 2 300
Free State / Vrystaat 309 000 478 950 264 500 375 225
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 500 1 000 700 1 400
KwaZulu-Natal 1 500 3 000 1 000 2 000
Mpumalanga 6 000 9 000 2 500 3 625
Limpopo 96 500 86 850 90 000 90 000
Gauteng 1 100 1 430 1 000 1 200
North West / Noordwes 155 000 240 250 195 000 224 250
Total / Totaal 570 100 821 630 555 700 700 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and third production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2026 2026 2025 2025
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 200 700 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 000 7 000 2 000 7 500
Free State / Vrystaat 607 000 1 365 750 565 000 1 300 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 7 500 25 500 5 500 16 225
KwaZulu-Natal 44 000 178 200 47 000 190 350
Mpumalanga 314 500 613 275 315 000 771 750
Limpopo 17 500 63 000 16 500 51 975
Gauteng 55 000 126 500 52 000 114 400
North West / Noordwes 165 000 429 000 148 000 347 800
Total / Totaal 1 212 700 2 808 925 1 151 000 2 800 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2026 2026 2025 2025
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 550 7 522 3 100 8 525
Free State / Vrystaat 16 750 27 638 21 700 29 280
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 0 0 0 0
KwaZulu-Natal 200 510 175 175
Mpumalanga 0 0 0 0
Limpopo 2 650 5 565 1 650 2 970
Gauteng 0 0 0 0
North West / Noordwes 22 500 28 125 21 500 22 400
Total / Totaal 44 650 69 360 48 125 63 350
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2026 2026 2025 2025
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 200 100 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 000 2 600 950 2 280
Free State / Vrystaat 9 500 14 250 17 500 28 875
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 170 340 200 400
KwaZulu-Natal 1 250 1 875 3 000 5 100
Mpumalanga 1 900 3 040 2 320 4 176
Limpopo 17 700 44 250 11 100 30 525
Gauteng 800 1 520 950 1 900
North West / Noordwes 6 500 11 375 9 500 17 100
Total / Totaal 38 920 79 450 45 620 90 556
Sorghum
Area planted and third production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2026 2026 2025 2025
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Free State / Vrystaat 10 500 32 550 12 800 46 755
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 100 300 200 600
KwaZulu-Natal 100 350 100 380
Mpumalanga 7 400 38 480 9 200 45 080
Limpopo 21 000 50 400 13 000 37 700
Gauteng 550 2 255 850 3 485
North West / Noordwes 5 350 16 318 5 000 16 000
Total / Totaal 45 000 140 653 41 150 150 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and third production forecast (2026) Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2026

Commercial maize

The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 16,835 million tons, which is 1,98% or 326 800 tons more than the previous forecast of 16,508 million tons. This is the largest maize crop on record. The area estimate for total maize is 2,716 million ha while the expected yield is 6,20 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 1,11% or 185 100 tons more than the 2025 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 82% of the 2026 crop.

The production forecast of white maize is 9,085 million tons, which is 3,73% or 326 800 tons more than the 8,758 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for white maize is 1,665 million ha with an expected yield of 5,46 t/ha.

In the case of yellow maize, he production forecast remained unchanged at 7,750 million tons. The area estimate for yellow maize is 1,052 million ha with an expected yield of 7,37 t/ha.

The yield per ha for the Mpumalanga province was based on scientific and objective results provided by the ARC. Please note that the objective results for the Free State and North West provinces will be available in May 2026.

Other summer crops

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed is 821 630 tons, which is 5,59% or 43 475 tons more than the previous forecast of 778 155 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 570 100 ha, while the expected yield is 1,44 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans increased by 2,92% or 79 650 tons to 2,809 million tons. This is the largest soybean crop on record. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 1 212 700 ha, with an expected yield of 2,32 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop remained unchanged at 69 360 tons. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 44 650 ha, with an expected yield of 1,55 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum also remained unchanged at 140 653 tons. The area estimate for sorghum is 45 000 ha and the expected yield is 3,13 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 79 450 tons, which is 1,55% or 1 254 tons less than the previous forecast. The area estimate of dry beans was adjusted downwards by 4,96% or 2 030 ha, from 40 950 ha to 38 920 ha. The expected yield is 2,04 t/ha.


Please note that the fourth production forecast for summer field crops for 2026 will be released on 26 May 2026.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2026

Kommersiële mielies

Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 16,835 miljoen ton gestel, wat 1,98% of 326 800 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 16,508 miljoen ton. Dit is die grootste mielie-oes op rekord. Die oppervlakteskatting vir totale mielies is 2,716 miljoen ha terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 6,20 t/ha is.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 1,11% of 185 100 ton meer as die 2025-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, nl. die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na ver­wagting 82% van die 2026-oes produseer.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 9,085 miljoen ton, wat 3,73% of 326 800 ton meer is as die 8,758 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir witmielies is 1,665 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 5,46 t/ha.

In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting onveranderd gelaat op 7,750 miljoen ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir geel­mielies is 1,052 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 7,37 t/ha.

Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Mpumalanga provinsie is gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objektiewe resultate verstrek deur die LNR. Neem kennis dat die objektiewe resultate vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies, in Mei 2026 gerapporteer sal word.

Ander somergewasse

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 821 630 ton, wat 5,59% of 43 475 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 778 155 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 570 100 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,44 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is vermeerder met 2,92% of 79 650 ton na 2,809 miljoen ton. Hierdie is die grootste sojaboon-oes op rekord. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 1 212 700 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 2,32 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 69 360 ton gestel. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 44 650 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,55 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is ook onveranderd gelaat op 140 653 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 45 000 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,13 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 79 450 ton, wat 1,55% of 1 254 ton minder is as die vorige skattting. Die opper­vlakte beplant met droëbone is afwaarts aangepas met 4,96% of 2 030 ha vanaf 40 950 ha na 38 920 ha. Die verwagte opbrengs is 2,04 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die vierde produksieskatting vir somer­gewasse vir 2026, op 26 Mei 2026 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattings­komitee.

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant  2026  Voorneme om te plant
Crop / Gewas Intentions *
Voorneme *
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Change / Verandering
2026 2025 2025
as on 26 Feb 2026/
soos op 26 Feb 2026
Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (A) ÷ (B)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 486 400 517 300 1 897 220 -5.97
Malting barley / Moutgars 101 900 96 950 346 430 5.11
Canola 189 175 174 515 309 035 8.40
Cereal oats / Hawermout 39 000 35 520 45 143 9.80
Sweet lupins / Soetlupine 21 000 21 000 17 850 0.00
Total winter cereals / Totaal wintergewasse 837 475 845 285 2 615 678 -0.92

*  Based on conditions at the middle of April 2026 / Gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2026.

Wheat / Koring
Intentions to plant  2026  Voorneme om te plant
Province / Provinsie Intentions
Voorneme
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
2026 2025 2025
Ha Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 335 000 363 000 980 100
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 41 000 40 000 300 000
Free State / Vrystaat 55 000 57 000 265 050
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 5 500 5 500 37 400
KwaZulu-Natal 8 000 8 500 51 000
Mpumalanga 3 000 3 500 22 400
Limpopo 28 000 28 000 165 200
Gauteng 900 800 5 120
North West / Noordwes 10 000 11 000 70 950
Total / Totaal 486 400 517 300 1 897 220
Wheat / Koring
Area planted   2010-2026   Oppervlakte beplant
Graph of area planted to wheat from 2010 to 2026
Barley / Gars
Area planted   2010-2026   Oppervlakte beplant
Graph of area planted to barley from 2010 to 2026
Canola
Area planted   2010-2026   Oppervlakte beplant
Graph of area planted to canola from 2010 to 2026

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant for 2026 / Voorneme om te plant vir 2026

Winter cereal crops – 2026

Producers' intentions to plant winter cereals are mainly based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis of the Department of Agriculture and reflects the position as at the middle of April 2026. Inputs were also received from the representatives of the respective Provincial Departments of Agriculture.

The figures for wheat represent the total number of hectares that are intended to be planted for grain, excluding any hectares that will be planted for fodder and grazing.

Early indications are that producers intend to plant 486 400 ha of wheat for the 2026 production season. This is 5,97% or 30 900 ha less than the 517 300 ha planted to wheat in 2025.

The main producing areas are within the Western Cape with 335 000 ha (69%), followed by the Free State with 55 000 ha (11%) and the Northern Cape with 41 000 ha (8%).

The expected area planted to malting barley is 101 900 ha, which is 5,11% or 4 950 ha more than the 96 950 ha of the previous year. The expected area planted to canola is 189 175 ha, which is 8,40% or 14 660 ha more than the 174 515 ha planted in 2025. Producers intend to plant 39 000 ha of cereal oats, which is 9,80% or 3 480 ha more than the 35 520 ha of the previous season. The expected area planted to sweet lupines is 21 000 ha – the same as the previous season.


Please note that the preliminary area estimate of winter crops for 2026 will be released on 28 July 2026.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2026

Produsente se voorneme om wintergewasse te plant is hoof­saaklik gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise van die Departement van Landbou en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van April 2026. Insette is ook ontvang vanaf die verteenwoordigers van die onderskeie Provinsiale Departemente van Landbou.

Die syfers vir koring verteenwoordig die totale aantal hektare wat werklik beplant gaan word vir graan, uitgesluit alle hektare wat beplant gaan word vir groenvoer en weiding.

Vroeë aanduidings is dat produsente van voorneme is om 486 400 ha koring te plant vir die 2026-produksie-seisoen. Dit is 5,97% of 30 900 ha minder koring aangeplant as die 517 300 ha in 2025.

Die grootste produserende gebiede is in die Wes-Kaap, met 335 000 ha (69%), gevolg deur die Vrystaat met 55 000 ha (11%) en die Noord-Kaap met 41 000 ha (8%).

Die verwagte aanplantings van moutgars is 101 900 ha – 5,11% of 4 950 ha meer as die 96 950 ha van die vorige jaar. Die verwagte aanplantings van canola is 189 175 ha, wat 8,40% of 14 660 ha meer is as die 174 515 ha wat aangeplant was in 2025. Pro­dusente is van voorneme om 39 000 ha hawermout te plant, wat 9,80% of 3 480 ha meer is as die 35 520 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte aanplantings van soetlupine is 21 000 ha – dieselfde as die vorige seisoen.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2026 op 28 Julie 2026 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattings­komitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.